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Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market, is stepping down. According to a statement issued on Thursday, Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market group and a member of its executive committee, will leave the bank in March 2025 to become a senior manager in the private sector. In the meantime, Neil has been transferred as a consultant to help promote a smooth transition. Anna Nordstrom, head of domestic and international marketing functions of the market group, will be the interim head of the market group until a successor is appointed. The new york Federal Reserve will start looking for a new head of the market group in the next few weeks.BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian and part-time researcher of Finance Research Institute of Fudan University, said: "Let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve", and moderately loose monetary policy will intensify countercyclical adjustment. The Central Economic Work Conference determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 was "moderately loose", which was not only based on the analysis of the current economic situation, but also fully considered external uncertainties, and combined with the planning of economic work next year.

The balance of A-share financing reached a nine-year high. On December 12th, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (CSI)WTI January crude oil futures closed down 0.27 USD, or 0.38% to 70.02 USD/barrel. Nymex January natural gas futures closed up 2.28% at $3.4550 per million british thermal unit.IBM and Illinois will establish a national quantum algorithm center with universities and industries in Chicago. On December 12th, local time, IBM and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker announced that they would cooperate to establish a new national quantum algorithm center in the Illinois Quantum and Microelectronics Park (IQMP) in Chicago. The center is jointly supported by IBM and other quantum computing pioneers, including the University of Chicago and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and will be supported by IBM's next-generation quantum computer, IBM Quantum System Two, which the company plans to deploy in Chicago next year.

Market News: The European Central Bank is prepared to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the next two meetings.The "2024 Congdu International Forum" was held in Madrid, Spain, and the "2024 Congdu International Forum" co-sponsored by the Chinese People's Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries, the Australian-China Friendship Exchange Association, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government and the World Leaders Alliance was held in Madrid, Spain from 11th to 12th.Vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand will be exerted in all directions. The Central Economic Work Conference requires that consumption be vigorously boosted, investment efficiency be improved and domestic demand be expanded in all directions. Experts said that it is particularly urgent to expand domestic demand when the uncertainty of external demand increases. In 2025, macro-control should adhere to the general tone of striving for progress while maintaining stability, maintain strategic strength, strive to do our own thing well, and make overall plans to expand domestic demand, stabilize growth and promote transformation. (CSI)